沙田 · 2023-03-19 · 15:36
第 6場
2023-03-19沙田第6場，Class 3，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由D Lane策騎、J Size訓練的ESCAPE ROUTE勝出，贏出1/2。FIVE G PATCH獲得亞軍；COPARTNER ELITES獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門FIVE G PATCH跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ESCAPE ROUTE 後段發力 H 2.01.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） D Lane · J Size | D Lane | J Size | 5 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | FIVE G PATCH 後段發力 TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | COPARTNER ELITES 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | NATURAL STORM 後段發力 B C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 12 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | ABOVE 後段發力 B/TT S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 10 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | ROUND THE EARTH B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | WOODFIRE BRO TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 14 | 21.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | S J TOURBILLON 後段發力 B/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM 後段發力 TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 13 | 23.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | CAN'T GO WONG CP- A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 54.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | ENJOYING B/TT R Moore · W Y So | R Moore | W Y So | 7 | 15.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | YOUNG BRILLIANT 早段領放 V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 11 | 126.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 5 | SUPERBELLA B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 35.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | SNAFFLES K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 5.6 | 35 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FIVE G PATCH | 33.6% | 2.97 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | COPARTNER ELITES | 12.6% | 7.95 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | SNAFFLES | 10.3% | 9.69 | 14 |
| 4 | 2 | ENJOYING | 8.5% | 11.83 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 6.5% | 15.28 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | NATURAL STORM | 5.5% | 18.07 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | WOODFIRE BRO | 4.3% | 23.06 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | ROUND THE EARTH | 3.9% | 25.38 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | S J TOURBILLON | 3.7% | 27.06 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM | 3.2% | 30.89 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | SUPERBELLA | 3.2% | 31.47 | 13 |
| 12 | 6 | ABOVE | 2.2% | 45.72 | 5 |
| 13 | 10 | CAN'T GO WONG | 1.7% | 57.98 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 0.6% | 157.76 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 112.5
PLACE
1 14
7 31
8 18.5
QUINELLA
1,7 162
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 59
1,8 41.5
7,8 84
FORECAST
7,1 528
TIERCE
7,1,8 2,005
TRIO
1,7,8 232
FIRST 4
1,7,8,11 790
QUARTET
7,1,8,11 19,080
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 26
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,10/1,7,8 3,504
5TH DOUBLE
10/1 10.5
10/7 309
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,4/5,7,10/1,7,8 136,363
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,4/5,7,10/Any Combination 395