跑馬地 · 2023-04-06 · 22:53
第 9場
2023-04-06跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由L Ferraris策騎、C Fownes訓練的WINNING ICEY勝出，贏出SH。HOSS獲得亞軍；HARMONY N BLESSED獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門HOSS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WINNING ICEY TT 1.10.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 9 | 6.7 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | HOSS XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 3 | 1.9 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 7 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY TYCOON H/PC S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 2 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | JUMBO FORTUNE XB1 C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 11 | 32.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ELON E/P L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 1 | 9.6 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | SCOTCH TYCOON M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 12 | 51.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | WINGS OF WAR CP M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 10 | 64.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | IVY LEAGUE SR-/XB1/B2/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 4 | 78.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 55.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER VINCE XB/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 12.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 6 | BEAUTY GLORY H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 12.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HOSS | 39.4% | 2.54 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY TYCOON | 10.5% | 9.49 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | WINNING ICEY | 9.3% | 10.70 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | BEAUTY GLORY | 9.0% | 11.11 | 12 |
| 5 | 11 | SUPER VINCE | 8.9% | 11.27 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | ELON | 5.2% | 19.35 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 4.5% | 22.17 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 4.1% | 24.65 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 3.4% | 29.60 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 2.7% | 37.32 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | WINGS OF WAR | 2.1% | 47.10 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | IVY LEAGUE | 0.9% | 109.67 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 67.5
PLACE
5 20.5
8 54.5
10 10.5
QUINELLA
5,10 67
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 176
5,10 29
8,10 76.5
FORECAST
5,10 211
TIERCE
5,10,8 2,312
TRIO
5,8,10 332
FIRST 4
1,5,8,10 424
QUARTET
5,10,8,1 9,343
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 15
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,8/5,8,10 93,738
8TH DOUBLE
2/5 123
2/10 10.5
SIX UP
5/5,6/1/5/2/5 60,504
5,12/2,5,6/1,8/2,5/2,4/5,10 3,214
1 [Z Purton] —
1 [C Fownes] —
TREBLE
5/2/5 713
5/2/10 38