沙田 · 2023-04-09 · 15:37
第 7場
2023-04-09沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、F C Lor訓練的HAPPY GOLF勝出，贏出1-1/2。MULTIDARLING獲得亞軍；CALL ME DANDY獲得季軍。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY GOLF 1.10.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 1 | 2.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | MULTIDARLING CP C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 6.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | CALL ME DANDY CP/XB M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 8 | 3.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | TIMESTORM XB/B1/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 9.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | GOOD BOY B/H1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 6 | 85.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | MIRACULOUS HONOUR H/SB K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 13 | 60.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | ALWAYS FLUKE C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 9 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 11 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | KEEN UNITY B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 14 | 133.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | URBAN TRIUMPH B1/TT1 L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 7 | 111.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | FAST BUCK B- Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 9.4 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | MULAN H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 2 | 115.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | SUPER JOY P/TT1 M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 3 | 109.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | EAGLE RUN SR/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 4 | 98.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CALL ME DANDY | 22.5% | 4.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY GOLF | 21.2% | 4.72 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | FAST BUCK | 14.1% | 7.08 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | MULTIDARLING | 8.0% | 12.42 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | TIMESTORM | 7.6% | 13.20 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 4.8% | 21.04 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | URBAN TRIUMPH | 4.6% | 21.68 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER | 4.5% | 22.03 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | MIRACULOUS HONOUR | 2.7% | 37.08 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | MULAN | 2.5% | 39.53 | 12 |
| 11 | 13 | SUPER JOY | 2.2% | 45.39 | 13 |
| 12 | 6 | GOOD BOY | 2.0% | 49.59 | 5 |
| 13 | 14 | EAGLE RUN | 1.9% | 53.77 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | KEEN UNITY | 1.3% | 75.55 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 27
PLACE
1 14.5
3 12.5
9 23.5
QUINELLA
3,9 113.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 21.5
1,9 53.5
3,9 44
FORECAST
3,9 164
TIERCE
3,9,1 532
TRIO
1,3,9 111
FIRST 4
1,3,7,9 169
QUARTET
3,9,1,7 2,505
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 14.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,8/1,3,9 1,166
6TH DOUBLE
2/3 33
2/9 32.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,12/2,6,8/1,3,9 216,334
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,12/2,6,8/Any Combination 1,730