跑馬地 · 2023-04-12 · 21:46
第 7場
2023-04-12跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、D J Whyte訓練的HAPPY TRIO勝出，贏出SH。E UNIVERSE獲得亞軍；MODEST GENTLEMAN獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門E UNIVERSE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HAPPY TRIO B 1.09.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 9.5 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | E UNIVERSE B-/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 2 | 4.2 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | MODEST GENTLEMAN P/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 5 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 6.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 1 | 4.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | SAVVY CHIC TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 8.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | STARRY NIGHT B/TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 7 | 46.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 9.8 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 10 | 65.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | NOBLE ONE TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | WIND SPEEDER K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 37.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | ART LITE TT1 L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 8 | 101.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | E UNIVERSE | 18.6% | 5.39 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME | 17.4% | 5.75 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 13.2% | 7.55 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | SAVVY CHIC | 9.5% | 10.52 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | HAPPY TRIO | 8.7% | 11.45 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 8.6% | 11.59 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 6.4% | 15.53 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | NOBLE ONE | 5.1% | 19.70 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | WIND SPEEDER | 4.3% | 23.16 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | MELBOURNE HALL | 3.2% | 30.78 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | STARRY NIGHT | 2.7% | 37.10 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | ART LITE | 2.2% | 46.50 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 95.5
PLACE
5 17
10 30.5
11 31.5
QUINELLA
5,10 220.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 80
5,11 68.5
10,11 198
FORECAST
10,5 583
TIERCE
10,5,11 6,065
TRIO
5,10,11 997
FIRST 4
2,5,10,11 1,440
QUARTET
10,5,11,2 42,657
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 25.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/5,10,11 157,507
6TH DOUBLE
3/5 77.5
3/10 2,381.5
TRIPLE TRIO
10>2,4,7/3,4,7/5,10,11 2,113,337
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
10>2,4,7/3,4,7/Any Combination 4,712