跑馬地 · 2023-04-12 · 20:46
第 5場
2023-04-12跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、A S Cruz訓練的ATOMIC ENERGY勝出，贏出N。G ONE EXCELLENT獲得亞軍；NICETOBEMET獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門G ONE EXCELLENT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ATOMIC ENERGY TT 0.57.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 6.0 | N |
| 2 | 4 | G ONE EXCELLENT B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 9 | 2.7 | N |
| 3 | 10 | NICETOBEMET CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 8.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 1 | 7.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | ACE TALENT H/PC/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | DIAMOND SOARS H/P/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 4 | 6.3 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 6 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | HEARTY WISH B/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 6.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | GOOD VIEW GLORY C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 10 | 70.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | LIFE IS GOOD H/XB/TT H Bentley · R Gibson | H Bentley | R Gibson | 3 | 41.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | FASTPASS B1 H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 8 | 106.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 7 | SERGEANT PEPPER H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 19.4% | 5.15 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | ATOMIC ENERGY | 16.8% | 5.94 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | DIAMOND SOARS | 16.6% | 6.01 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | HEARTY WISH | 15.2% | 6.56 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | NICETOBEMET | 10.1% | 9.93 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | ACE TALENT | 7.3% | 13.79 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER | 5.9% | 17.06 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 3.5% | 28.38 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | FASTPASS | 2.2% | 44.72 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | LIFE IS GOOD | 1.5% | 66.04 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 1.4% | 70.81 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 60
PLACE
2 18
4 13
10 30
QUINELLA
2,4 74
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 30
2,10 104
4,10 58.5
FORECAST
2,4 173
TIERCE
2,4,10 1,728
TRIO
2,4,10 200
FIRST 4
2,3,4,10 405
QUARTET
2,4,10,3 8,272
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,9/10>2,4,7 6,639
3 PICK 1
A1 19
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/2 242.5
9/4,7 31