跑馬地 · 2023-04-12 · 22:53
第 9場
2023-04-12跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的XPONENTIAL勝出，贏出SH。ACT OF FAITH獲得亞軍；MAGNIAC獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門MAGNIAC跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | XPONENTIAL B/TT 1.09.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.0 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | ACT OF FAITH K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | MAGNIAC V/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 2.9 | N |
| 4 | 5 | PHOENIX LIGHT H/TT1 H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 7 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | THE RUNNER V L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | HEROIC MASTER H/P/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 26.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | JUMBO LEGEND H/PC/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 10 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | LESLIE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | GOLD GOLD BABY TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 3.8 | 3 |
| 11 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 38.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | TELECOM SPIRIT B H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 12 | 179.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MAGNIAC | 28.8% | 3.47 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 17.1% | 5.85 | 10 |
| 3 | 4 | XPONENTIAL | 9.1% | 10.96 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | ACT OF FAITH | 9.1% | 11.03 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 8.2% | 12.14 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | HEROIC MASTER | 5.9% | 17.01 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 4.8% | 20.67 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | LESLIE | 4.7% | 21.06 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | JUMBO LEGEND | 3.9% | 25.55 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 3.9% | 25.97 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | THE RUNNER | 3.7% | 27.25 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | TELECOM SPIRIT | 0.7% | 136.32 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 60
PLACE
4 19
8 14.5
12 30.5
QUINELLA
4,12 262.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 38.5
4,12 76
8,12 75.5
FORECAST
4,12 373
TIERCE
4,12,8 2,022
TRIO
4,8,12 370
FIRST 4
4,5,8,12 718
QUARTET
4,12,8,5 20,963
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 23.5
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,11/4,8,12 3,627
8TH DOUBLE
11/4 411
11/12 97.5
SIX UP
6,9/2,4,7/3,4/5,10/8,11/4,12 726
9/2/3/10/11/4 1,017,704
11 [D J Whyte] —
1 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
10/11/4 4,429
10/11/12 1,126