Happy Valley · 2023-04-12 · 22:53
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | XPONENTIAL B/TT 1.09.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | ACT OF FAITH K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | MAGNIAC V/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 2.9 | N |
| 5 | 0 | THE RUNNER V L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HEROIC MASTER H/P/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 26.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | JUMBO LEGEND H/PC/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 10 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLD GOLD BABY TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 3.8 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 38.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | TELECOM SPIRIT B H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 12 | 179.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LESLIE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | — | 25.0 | 3 |
| — | 0 | PHOENIX LIGHT H/TT1 H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | — | 10.0 | 1 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-12 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. XPONENTIAL, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with ACT OF FAITH second and MAGNIAC third. The 2.9 favourite MAGNIAC finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MAGNIAC | 28.8% | 3.47 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 17.1% | 5.85 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | XPONENTIAL | 9.1% | 10.96 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | ACT OF FAITH | 9.1% | 11.03 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 8.2% | 12.14 | — |
| 6 | 0 | HEROIC MASTER | 5.9% | 17.01 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 4.8% | 20.67 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | LESLIE | 4.7% | 21.06 | — |
| 9 | 0 | JUMBO LEGEND | 3.9% | 25.55 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 3.9% | 25.97 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | THE RUNNER | 3.7% | 27.25 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | TELECOM SPIRIT | 0.7% | 136.32 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 60
PLACE
4 19
8 14.5
12 30.5
QUINELLA
4,12 262.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 38.5
4,12 76
8,12 75.5
FORECAST
4,12 373
TIERCE
4,12,8 2,022
TRIO
4,8,12 370
FIRST 4
4,5,8,12 718
QUARTET
4,12,8,5 20,963
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 23.5
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,11/4,8,12 3,627
8TH DOUBLE
11/4 411
11/12 97.5
SIX UP
6,9/2,4,7/3,4/5,10/8,11/4,12 726
9/2/3/10/11/4 1,017,704
11 [D J Whyte] —
1 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
10/11/4 4,429
10/11/12 1,126