Happy Valley · 2023-04-12 · 21:16
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS Closed strongly CP-/B1 1.39.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 8 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING Led early TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 2.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION Closed strongly B-/SR2/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 5 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HOLY POWER B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL Closed strongly B A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 11 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | STORM LEGEND K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 9.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 1 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NOBLE STEED M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 7 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS B/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 3 | 40.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT B-/V1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 69.0 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 0 | STURDY RUBY TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | — | 7.7 | 3-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-12 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. EIGHTEEN PALMS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/4, with SPLENDID LIVING second and BEAUTY MISSION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite SPLENDID LIVING finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 17.2% | 5.82 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING | 15.2% | 6.59 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | STURDY RUBY | 14.3% | 6.99 | — |
| 4 | 0 | HOLY POWER | 14.3% | 7.00 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL | 8.0% | 12.49 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION | 7.2% | 13.82 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | STORM LEGEND | 5.9% | 17.03 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 5.5% | 18.31 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION | 4.9% | 20.56 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 3.2% | 31.11 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 2.5% | 39.91 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 1.9% | 52.74 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 113.5
PLACE
3 31
4 12
7 84
QUINELLA
3,4 161.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 63.5
3,7 510.5
4,7 144.5
FORECAST
3,4 450
TIERCE
3,4,7 10,704
TRIO
3,4,7 1,637
FIRST 4
2,3,4,7 1,176
QUARTET
3,4,7,2 35,303
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 27
5TH DOUBLE
2/3 335
2/4 26