Happy Valley · 2023-04-12 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-12 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FAITHFUL TRINITY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with CORDYCEPS ONE second and OVER THE MOON third. The winner led throughout. The 3.0 favourite OVER THE MOON finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Wire to wire B/TT 1.40.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 17.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | CORDYCEPS ONE Closed strongly B/H K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 8 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | OVER THE MOON B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 3.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | CHARIZARD B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 1 | 5.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | HO HO JUNIOR Closed strongly C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 3 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | FORTUNE WINNER Closed strongly XB/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 11 | 82.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GOLDEN MISSION B/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 27.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 10 | 8.1 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B- H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 12 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | TYCOON JEWELLERY H/XB/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 8.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | TO INFINITY B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 6 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 9 | 76.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TYCOON JEWELLERY | 14.0% | 7.14 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | HO HO JUNIOR | 11.9% | 8.37 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 11.4% | 8.79 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | OVER THE MOON | 10.5% | 9.50 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | CHARIZARD | 10.1% | 9.93 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 9.2% | 10.84 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | JOLLY HONOUR | 8.4% | 11.91 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | GOLDEN MISSION | 8.0% | 12.47 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | TO INFINITY | 7.3% | 13.61 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 5.9% | 17.03 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | MIGHTY STAR | 2.1% | 46.63 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | FORTUNE WINNER | 1.1% | 92.07 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 172.5
PLACE
1 35
3 15
10 42
QUINELLA
1,10 739
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 81.5
1,10 208.5
3,10 99
FORECAST
10,1 1,404
TIERCE
10,1,3 6,532
TRIO
1,3,10 986
FIRST 4
1,3,5,10 480
QUARTET
10,1,3,5 17,361
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/1 22.5
4/10 320
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 36