Happy Valley · 2023-04-12 · 19:48
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ONE FOR ALL, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by R Gibson, won by 1, with WOOD ON FIRE second and ISLAND SURPRISE third. The 2.9 favourite WOOD ON FIRE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ONE FOR ALL B/TT 1.09.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 9 | 8.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | WOOD ON FIRE H/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 4 | 2.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 7.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | TELECOM SPEED H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 12 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | CHARMING STEED TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 7.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | PRIME MORTAR CP/XB/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 5.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SPICY SO SMART H/XB Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 7 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | DIAMOND FLARE B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 2 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | SEE U AGAIN C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 10 | 21.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | AMAZING TRAVIS H/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 3 | 88.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | NOBLE ACE TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 54.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | ABOVE ALL H/XB H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 11 | 72.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PRIME MORTAR | 29.6% | 3.37 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | TELECOM SPEED | 12.5% | 7.98 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | WOOD ON FIRE | 11.4% | 8.75 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 11.0% | 9.12 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | ONE FOR ALL | 10.1% | 9.91 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | CHARMING STEED | 8.3% | 12.02 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | SEE U AGAIN | 5.0% | 20.11 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | SPICY SO SMART | 4.1% | 24.60 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | NOBLE ACE | 3.2% | 31.55 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | ABOVE ALL | 2.1% | 47.35 | 12 |
| 11 | 2 | DIAMOND FLARE | 1.8% | 56.48 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | AMAZING TRAVIS | 0.9% | 106.55 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 86
PLACE
5 13.5
9 23.5
10 29.5
QUINELLA
5,10 126
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 45
5,10 55.5
9,10 91.5
FORECAST
10,5 329
TIERCE
10,5,9 2,040
TRIO
5,9,10 292
FIRST 4
3,5,9,10 411
QUARTET
10,5,9,3 11,484
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,10/5,9,10 18,028
2ND DOUBLE
10/5 94.5
10/10 990
3 PICK 1
A3 32.5
A1 —
A2 —