Happy Valley · 2023-04-12 · 20:16
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-12 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RATTAN KINGDOM, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Richards, won by N, with MALDIVES second and LOYAL BABY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite ZONE D finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RATTAN KINGDOM Closed strongly B/XB/TT 1.39.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 5 | 4.9 | N |
| 2 | 6 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 3.5 | N |
| 3 | 4 | LOYAL BABY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 3.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | PARTY WARRIOR H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | ALL RICHES Led early V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 8.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | RED MAJESTY B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 35.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | THE ROCK L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 2 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ZONE D | 30.1% | 3.33 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | MALDIVES | 17.8% | 5.61 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 16.0% | 6.27 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | LOYAL BABY | 9.3% | 10.73 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | ALL RICHES | 8.9% | 11.23 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | RED MAJESTY | 6.6% | 15.14 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | PARTY WARRIOR | 6.4% | 15.74 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPER OASIS | 3.2% | 31.45 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | THE ROCK | 1.8% | 55.48 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 49.5
PLACE
4 27.5
6 14.5
9 15.5
QUINELLA
6,9 95
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 54.5
4,9 67.5
6,9 36
FORECAST
9,6 180
TIERCE
9,6,4 1,371
TRIO
4,6,9 213
FIRST 4
1,4,6,9 83
QUARTET
9,6,4,1 2,433
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 20.5
3RD DOUBLE
10/6 72
10/9 469