Happy Valley · 2023-04-12 · 22:17
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly TT 1.39.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 5.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GORYTUS Closed strongly XB/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 8.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 9 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 3 | 5.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | PACKING AWARD H- L Hewitson · L Ho | L Hewitson | L Ho | 11 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 22.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 39.0 | 15 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-12 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ENCOUNTERED, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won by 1, with GORYTUS second and NIMBLE NIMBUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite NIMBLE NIMBUS finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 17.6% | 5.68 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 15.8% | 6.31 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 12.7% | 7.85 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 10.8% | 9.25 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | GORYTUS | 10.5% | 9.51 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO | 7.2% | 13.82 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 7.2% | 13.90 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | PACKING AWARD | 5.5% | 18.25 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 4.5% | 22.23 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED | 4.1% | 24.68 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 4.0% | 24.94 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 59
PLACE
8 15.5
10 15.5
11 22
QUINELLA
8,11 149
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 33
8,11 55.5
10,11 41.5
FORECAST
11,8 355
TIERCE
11,8,10 926
TRIO
8,10,11 143
FIRST 4
7,8,10,11 933
QUARTET
11,8,10,7 16,775
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 21.5
7TH DOUBLE
10/8 94
10/11 713.5