沙田 · 2023-04-23 · 17:48
第 10場
2023-04-23沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、C Fownes訓練的STRAIGHT ARRON勝出，贏出3-1/4。SWORD POINT獲得亞軍；SWEET ENCOUNTER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門SWORD POINT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | STRAIGHT ARRON 後段發力 1.47.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 5.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | SWORD POINT CP H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 4 | 2.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SWEET ENCOUNTER 後段發力 B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD 後段發力 CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 37.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | SPIRITED EXPRESS 後段發力 B S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 10 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | ALACRITY 後段發力 TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 8 | 7.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | BEAUTYVERSE H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 9 | 51.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | SAVVY NINE B/XB L Currie · D J Whyte | L Currie | D J Whyte | 1 | 26.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CHAMPION DRAGON 早段領放 H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 11.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | BOURBONAIRE H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 16.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | TURIN REDSUN B-/SR2/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 56.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | LOOKING GREAT CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 55.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SWORD POINT | 19.4% | 5.15 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 19.0% | 5.27 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | ALACRITY | 16.2% | 6.16 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 11.9% | 8.41 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 9.0% | 11.15 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD | 6.6% | 15.23 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 5.6% | 17.95 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | SAVVY NINE | 3.9% | 25.68 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | BOURBONAIRE | 3.2% | 30.95 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | TURIN REDSUN | 2.0% | 49.01 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | LOOKING GREAT | 1.9% | 52.39 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | BEAUTYVERSE | 1.3% | 77.21 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 56
PLACE
7 13
9 20.5
12 18.5
QUINELLA
7,12 61.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 30.5
7,12 27.5
9,12 49.5
FORECAST
12,7 160
TIERCE
12,7,9 620
TRIO
7,9,12 87
FIRST 4
1,7,9,12 714
QUARTET
12,7,9,1 9,149
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND TREBLE
7/12/7 6,905
7/12/12 94,888
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,12/7,9,12 16,437
9TH DOUBLE
12/7 163
12/12 2,390
SIX UP
2,10/7,9/9,12/7,10/5,12/7,12 69,331
3 [C Y Ho] —
2 [F C Lor] —