沙田 · 2023-04-23 · 14:02
第 3場
2023-04-23沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SPARKLING DOLPHIN勝出，贏出N。HEALTHY HEALTHY獲得亞軍；PO ON WAY獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門DAN ATTACK跑獲第13名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN 0.57.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 11 | 26.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | HEALTHY HEALTHY H/TT1 C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 13 | 39.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | PO ON WAY M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 14 | 27.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | HAPPY HORSE B-/H/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 12 | 135.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | INNOCONSTRUCTION B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ALWAYS AWESOME L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 121.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | DASHING TRIUMPH CP/TT H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 6 | 66.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | STRONGEST BOY B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 35.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | DAILY TROPHY TT1 H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | SHINKANSEN H1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | STAR CLUB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 2 | 7.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | DAN ATTACK TT1 Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 1.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | SPEEDY FORTUNE S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 9 | 7.4 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DAN ATTACK | 26.1% | 3.83 | 13 |
| 2 | 2 | INNOCONSTRUCTION | 12.8% | 7.80 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | DAILY TROPHY | 11.6% | 8.59 | 9 |
| 4 | 14 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 7.7% | 13.07 | 14 |
| 5 | 7 | PO ON WAY | 6.8% | 14.80 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | STRONGEST BOY | 5.8% | 17.29 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | LIKE THAT | 5.4% | 18.48 | 11 |
| 8 | 8 | SHINKANSEN | 5.3% | 18.93 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | ALWAYS AWESOME | 4.9% | 20.43 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | STAR CLUB | 4.6% | 21.80 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 4.1% | 24.23 | 2 |
| 12 | 12 | DASHING TRIUMPH | 2.3% | 42.80 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 1.7% | 58.06 | 1 |
| 14 | 13 | HAPPY HORSE | 0.8% | 118.04 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 263.5
PLACE
6 60
7 55
10 55.5
QUINELLA
6,10 2,898.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 399
6,10 665.5
7,10 809.5
FORECAST
10,6 5,244
TIERCE
10,6,7 67,516
TRIO
6,7,10 12,497
FIRST 4
6,7,10,13 33,882
QUARTET
10,6,7,13 935,150
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
9/6 693
9/10 3,741
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 43.5
A1 —