跑馬地 · 2023-05-03 · 22:52
第 9場
2023-05-03跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、C S Shum訓練的NORDIC DRAGON勝出，贏出1。CALIFORNIA CIBLE獲得亞軍；PHOENIX LIGHT獲得季軍。頭馬以4.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NORDIC DRAGON TT 1.09.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 6 | 4.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | PHOENIX LIGHT H/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 9.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 12 | 47.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | LUCKY EIGHT S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | NICCONI COUNTY TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 11 | 27.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | HEROIC MASTER H/P/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | ACT OF FAITH K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 9.2 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | JUMBO FORTUNE XB L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 4 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | EQUALETTA BLITZ V-/H/B2 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | GOLD GOLD BABY TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 7.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | COBHFIELD B H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 2 | 10.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LUCKY EIGHT | 21.3% | 4.70 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 14.8% | 6.78 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | ACT OF FAITH | 12.7% | 7.90 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | NORDIC DRAGON | 11.6% | 8.58 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | HEROIC MASTER | 10.3% | 9.68 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 6.5% | 15.43 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 6.2% | 16.14 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 4.8% | 20.91 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | NICCONI COUNTY | 4.4% | 22.84 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 3.0% | 33.04 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | COBHFIELD | 3.0% | 33.42 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 1.5% | 68.35 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 43
PLACE
2 16.5
5 41
9 26.5
QUINELLA
2,5 249.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 98.5
2,9 72.5
5,9 163.5
FORECAST
2,5 481
TIERCE
2,5,9 3,389
TRIO
2,5,9 767
FIRST 4
2,5,9,11 6,560
QUARTET
2,5,9,11 79,781
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND TREBLE
7/4/2 3,102
7/4/5 1,002
3 PICK 1
A1 29.5
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/2,5,9 22,591
8TH DOUBLE
4/2 2,259
4/5 368
SIX UP
5,9/3,12/3,11/7,9/4,5/2,5 3,638
4 [A S Cruz] —
1 [Z Purton] —