跑馬地 · 2023-05-03 · 21:16
第 6場
2023-05-03跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、J Size訓練的A AMERIC TE SPECSO勝出，贏出N。FLAMING EAGLE獲得亞軍；HAPPY TRIO獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門WOOD ON FIRE跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO 1.10.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 7.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | FLAMING EAGLE PC-/V1/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 7 | 19.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | HAPPY TRIO B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.6 | N |
| 4 | 1 | COMPASSION SUPER XB1/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 15.0 | N |
| 5 | 12 | OUR CLASS ACT H S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 1 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | EXUBERANT B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 6 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | WOOD ON FIRE H/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 3 | 3.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | LITTLE FAIRY A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 8 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | JAZZ WITH DRAGON B1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 11 | 147.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | NUNCHUKS TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 9 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | STAR ASCENSION TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 10 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 2 | FLYING ON THE TURF Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EXUBERANT | 21.9% | 4.57 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | WOOD ON FIRE | 20.5% | 4.88 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | HAPPY TRIO | 12.6% | 7.94 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 12.5% | 8.03 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | STAR ASCENSION | 8.2% | 12.13 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | OUR CLASS ACT | 6.7% | 15.00 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | COMPASSION SUPER | 6.0% | 16.59 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | FLAMING EAGLE | 4.7% | 21.08 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | LITTLE FAIRY | 4.3% | 23.43 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | NUNCHUKS | 1.8% | 55.09 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | JAZZ WITH DRAGON | 0.8% | 126.15 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 70.5
PLACE
3 22.5
8 15
11 54
QUINELLA
3,11 703
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 54
3,11 192
8,11 116.5
FORECAST
3,11 1,249
TIERCE
3,11,8 7,355
TRIO
3,8,11 735
FIRST 4
1,3,8,11 1,990
QUARTET
3,11,8,1 57,437
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 23
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
12/3 3,715.5
12/11 927