Happy Valley · 2023-05-03 · 21:16
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | FLAMING EAGLE PC-/V1/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 7 | 19.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY TRIO B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.6 | N |
| 4 | 0 | COMPASSION SUPER XB1/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 15.0 | N |
| 5 | 0 | OUR CLASS ACT H S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 1 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | EXUBERANT B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 6 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE H/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 3 | 3.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LITTLE FAIRY A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 8 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | JAZZ WITH DRAGON B1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 11 | 147.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NUNCHUKS TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 9 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | STAR ASCENSION TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 10 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 0 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | — | 7.0 | N |
| — | 0 | FLYING ON THE TURF Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-03 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FLAMING EAGLE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with HAPPY TRIO second and COMPASSION SUPER third. The 3.3 favourite WOOD ON FIRE finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXUBERANT | 21.9% | 4.57 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE | 20.5% | 4.88 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY TRIO | 12.6% | 7.94 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 12.5% | 8.03 | — |
| 5 | 0 | STAR ASCENSION | 8.2% | 12.13 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | OUR CLASS ACT | 6.7% | 15.00 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | COMPASSION SUPER | 6.0% | 16.59 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | FLAMING EAGLE | 4.7% | 21.08 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | LITTLE FAIRY | 4.3% | 23.43 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | NUNCHUKS | 1.8% | 55.09 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | JAZZ WITH DRAGON | 0.8% | 126.15 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 70.5
PLACE
3 22.5
8 15
11 54
QUINELLA
3,11 703
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 54
3,11 192
8,11 116.5
FORECAST
3,11 1,249
TIERCE
3,11,8 7,355
TRIO
3,8,11 735
FIRST 4
1,3,8,11 1,990
QUARTET
3,11,8,1 57,437
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 23
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
12/3 3,715.5
12/11 927