Happy Valley · 2023-05-03 · 19:17
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-03 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. JACK WIN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with CHARMING STEED second and DAY DAY RICH third. The 4.2 favourite RAGING BLAZE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JACK WIN B/H/TT 1.10.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.6 | N |
| 2 | 1 | CHARMING STEED TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 10 | 15.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 6.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | RAGING BLAZE TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 4 | 4.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | ALLOY KING V H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | VIVA A LA H/P/TT A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 11 | 46.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | DRAGON KINGDOM S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 12 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | MIRACLES B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 9.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 4.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SHENRON H-/P-/XB-/B1/TT2 M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 2 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SMART COUSIN B-/V1 V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 5 | 51.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | ENCORE B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 9 | 23.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JACK WIN | 19.8% | 5.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | RAGING BLAZE | 14.9% | 6.70 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | DAY DAY RICH | 14.0% | 7.17 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY | 11.3% | 8.84 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | MIRACLES | 7.1% | 14.16 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | CHARMING STEED | 6.4% | 15.66 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | ENCORE | 5.8% | 17.30 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 5.1% | 19.54 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | SHENRON | 4.8% | 20.78 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | VIVA A LA | 3.9% | 25.82 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | ALLOY KING | 3.9% | 25.84 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | SMART COUSIN | 3.1% | 32.27 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 56
PLACE
1 45.5
6 16.5
8 26.5
QUINELLA
1,6 407
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 140.5
1,8 160
6,8 74.5
FORECAST
6,1 741
TIERCE
6,1,8 4,898
TRIO
1,6,8 933
FIRST 4
1,5,6,8 772
QUARTET
6,1,8,5 20,530
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/1 199.5
1/6 853
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A2 —
A3 —