Happy Valley · 2023-05-03 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT 1.40.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 31.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 5.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RED MAJESTY Led early B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 42.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | TOP TOP TEA S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | LOYAL BABY TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | PACKING SUCCEEDER M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 4 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MALDIVES XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 5 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | C P BRAVE Closed strongly CP/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 10 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 11 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | CASA COSMO B/XB/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 7 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TATTENHAM P/H1 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 3 | 62.0 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | — | 2.5 | 1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-03 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. WINNING DRAGON, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with ZONE D second and RED MAJESTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite HELENE FEELING did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELENE FEELING | 22.0% | 4.54 | — |
| 2 | 0 | ZONE D | 18.3% | 5.47 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | MALDIVES | 10.0% | 10.02 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | CASA COSMO | 9.3% | 10.71 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | TOP TOP TEA | 7.6% | 13.10 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | PACKING SUCCEEDER | 7.6% | 13.13 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 7.4% | 13.57 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 4.8% | 20.63 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 4.6% | 21.80 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 4.3% | 23.31 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | C P BRAVE | 3.0% | 33.31 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | TATTENHAM | 1.0% | 96.38 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 312.5
PLACE
1 19.5
4 81.5
5 12
QUINELLA
4,5 342
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 256
1,5 33.5
4,5 128.5
FORECAST
4,5 1,060
TIERCE
4,5,1 7,331
TRIO
1,4,5 784
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 2,568
QUARTET
4,5,1,3 99,204
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 38
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/4 375.5
7/5 10.5