Happy Valley · 2023-05-03 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT Closed strongly 1.40.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 5 | 47.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING CP2/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 7 | 3.5 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE Closed strongly B/XB L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 6 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON Led early H-/V-/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 127.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | JUNE PLANET Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 4.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E-/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 2 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 1 | 5.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | BIG TWO Closed strongly H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly B/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.8 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DINKUM CP/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 13.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | TRAVEL GUIDE XB/CP1/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 10 | 80.0 | 18-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-03 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FORTUNE PRESIDENT, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by Y S Tsui, won by SH, with SPLENDID LIVING second and FEARLESS FIRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite SPLENDID LIVING finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 18.0% | 5.56 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING | 16.0% | 6.25 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | JUNE PLANET | 14.4% | 6.96 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 11.2% | 8.92 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | BIG TWO | 8.5% | 11.75 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 7.8% | 12.85 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 7.5% | 13.32 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | DINKUM | 5.5% | 18.18 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 4.3% | 23.31 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 3.5% | 28.61 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | TRAVEL GUIDE | 1.9% | 51.39 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 1.4% | 70.56 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 471
PLACE
3 13
6 56
12 94
QUINELLA
3,12 890.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 147
3,12 247
6,12 1,177.5
FORECAST
12,3 1,896
TIERCE
12,3,6 45,064
TRIO
3,6,12 5,421
FIRST 4
3,6,9,12 25,342
QUARTET
12,3,6,9 704,083
All pools (4 more)
1ST TREBLE
2/5/3 365
2/5/12 28,532
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,10/3,6,12 382,261
3 PICK 1
A3 37
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
5/3 24.5
5/12 1,620.5