Happy Valley · 2023-05-03 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AI ONE Closed strongly H/TT 1.50.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 12 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI Led early TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 5 | 71.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 3.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 9 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER Closed strongly XB/CP1/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 2 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 7.6 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 1 | 5.7 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY HERO B S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 10 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BELL OF HAPPINESS H/TT C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 7 | 129.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | HO HO JUNIOR M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 11.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-03 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. AI ONE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with HAPPY JAI JAI second and MIGHTY STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite LOYAL AMBITION finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 23.5% | 4.26 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 12.8% | 7.81 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 12.4% | 8.04 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 9.2% | 10.85 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 8.4% | 11.84 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 8.0% | 12.51 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY HERO | 8.0% | 12.53 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | AI ONE | 6.6% | 15.19 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER | 5.8% | 17.38 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR | 3.5% | 28.41 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | BELL OF HAPPINESS | 1.8% | 55.86 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 128.5
PLACE
1 42.5
4 39
11 158
QUINELLA
1,4 1,060
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 309.5
1,11 1,041.5
4,11 1,051.5
FORECAST
1,4 2,092
TIERCE
1,4,11 72,112
TRIO
1,4,11 14,483
FIRST 4
1,4,7,11 8,282
QUARTET
1,4,11,7 277,821
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 29.5
A2 —