沙田 · 2023-05-10 · 21:17
第 5場
2023-05-10沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由H Bentley策騎、K H Ting訓練的IMPERIAL MAGEE勝出，贏出1-1/4。MEGA BONUS獲得亞軍；MAGIC SUPREME獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門MAGIC SUPREME跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | IMPERIAL MAGEE SR/XB/TT 1.08.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | MEGA BONUS V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 9 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 3 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | RED DESERT B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 9.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | MR VALIANT H/XB K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 10 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | I GIVE PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 8.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | TURBO POWER C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 6.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 7 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | THE MULTIPLIER B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 8 | 14.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | GLORY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 11.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | MR MAJESTIC B/TT1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 2 | 35.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TURBO POWER | 19.3% | 5.17 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 12.4% | 8.07 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | GLORY BO BO | 9.9% | 10.10 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | MAGIC SUPREME | 9.7% | 10.34 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | MR MAJESTIC | 7.7% | 12.94 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | MR VALIANT | 7.3% | 13.66 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | THE MULTIPLIER | 7.2% | 13.95 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | RED DESERT | 6.6% | 15.12 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 5.8% | 17.27 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | I GIVE | 5.6% | 17.97 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | MEGA BONUS | 4.7% | 21.12 | 2 |
| 12 | 12 | HANDSOME REBEL | 3.8% | 26.42 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 123.5
PLACE
3 50.5
4 38
7 14.5
QUINELLA
3,4 1,136.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 298.5
3,7 119.5
4,7 90.5
FORECAST
4,3 2,201
TIERCE
4,3,7 10,482
TRIO
3,4,7 1,330
FIRST 4
1,3,4,7 1,287
QUARTET
4,3,7,1 41,572
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
7/9/3 3,629
7/9/4 14,264
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 23
4TH DOUBLE
9/3 248
9/4 1,163