Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-05-10 · 21:17

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1200m 12 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. IMPERIAL MAGEE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by K H Ting, won by 1-1/4, with MEGA BONUS second and MAGIC SUPREME third. The 3.1 favourite MAGIC SUPREME finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.08.68
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 IMPERIAL MAGEE SR/XB/TT 1.08.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · K H Ting 6 12.0 1-1/4
2 3 MEGA BONUS V R Maia · P F Yiu 9 18.0 1-1/4
3 7 MAGIC SUPREME B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man 3 3.1 1-3/4
4 1 RED DESERT B Z Purton · J Size 12 9.0 3
5 6 MR VALIANT H/XB K Teetan · L Ho 10 19.0 3-1/2
6 2 SUMMIT CHEERS TT H Bowman · D J Hall 5 13.0 3-1/2
7 10 I GIVE PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng 4 8.1 4-1/2
8 11 TURBO POWER C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 6.0 4-3/4
9 12 HANDSOME REBEL B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards 7 19.0 5-1/2
10 8 THE MULTIPLIER B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes 8 14.0 8
11 9 GLORY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 11 11.0 10-3/4
12 5 MR MAJESTIC B/TT1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte 2 35.0 13-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. IMPERIAL MAGEE2. MEGA BONUS+1.25L3. MAGIC SUPREME+1.75L4. RED DESERT+3L5. MR VALIANT+3.5L6. SUMMIT CHEERS+3.5L7. I GIVE+4.5L8. TURBO POWER+4.75L9. HANDSOME REBEL+5.5L10. THE MULTIPLIER+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick TURBO POWER (19.3%) finished 8th — the winner IMPERIAL MAGEE was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 TURBO POWER 19.3% 5.17 8
2 2 SUMMIT CHEERS 12.4% 8.07 6
3 9 GLORY BO BO 9.9% 10.10 11
4 7 MAGIC SUPREME 9.7% 10.34 3
5 5 MR MAJESTIC 7.7% 12.94 12
6 6 MR VALIANT 7.3% 13.66 5
7 8 THE MULTIPLIER 7.2% 13.95 10
8 1 RED DESERT 6.6% 15.12 4
9 4 IMPERIAL MAGEE 5.8% 17.27 1
10 10 I GIVE 5.6% 17.97 7
11 3 MEGA BONUS 4.7% 21.12 2
12 12 HANDSOME REBEL 3.8% 26.42 9
TURBO POWERSUMMIT CHEERSGLORY BO BOMAGIC SUPREMEMR MAJESTICMR VALIANTTHE MULTIPLIERRED DESERTIMPERIAL MAGEE — wonI GIVEMEGA BONUSHANDSOME REBEL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 123.5

PLACE

3 50.5

4 38

7 14.5

QUINELLA

3,4 1,136.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 298.5

3,7 119.5

4,7 90.5

FORECAST

4,3 2,201

TIERCE

4,3,7 10,482

TRIO

3,4,7 1,330

FIRST 4

1,3,4,7 1,287

QUARTET

4,3,7,1 41,572

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

7/9/3 3,629

7/9/4 14,264

3 PICK 1

A1

A2

A3 23

4TH DOUBLE

9/3 248

9/4 1,163