Sha Tin · 2023-05-10 · 22:53
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAVA NAGEELA Closed strongly B 1.37.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 5 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 6.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON Closed strongly V/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly P1/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 8 | 40.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 11 | 52.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | APACHE PASS BO/XB Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 9.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 5.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 26.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 12 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SAVAQUIN P2 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 43.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT Led early V/TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 2 | 43.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND B Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 3 | 11.0 | 26-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-10 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. HAVA NAGEELA, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with HANDSOME TWELVE second and SUPER WIN DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAVA NAGEELA | 29.8% | 3.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | APACHE PASS | 16.3% | 6.12 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 8.1% | 12.34 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 7.0% | 14.29 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 7.0% | 14.34 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 6.2% | 16.05 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS | 5.9% | 17.00 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 5.7% | 17.62 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO | 4.7% | 21.30 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 3.7% | 27.22 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 3.0% | 33.53 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 2.7% | 37.71 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 23
PLACE
9 18.5
10 41
12 12.5
QUINELLA
9,12 70.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 148
9,12 30.5
10,12 67
FORECAST
12,9 118
TIERCE
12,9,10 1,029
TRIO
9,10,12 235
FIRST 4
5,9,10,12 3,397
QUARTET
12,9,10,5 30,448
All pools (5 more)
2ND TREBLE
5/3/9 68
5/3/12 152
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,6/9,10,12 99,573
7TH DOUBLE
3/9 73
3/12 150.5
SIX UP
3,7/8,9/3,4/3,5/3,4/9,12 4,858
7/9/4/5/3/12 296,494
1 [Z Purton] —
8 [K H Ting] —