Sha Tin · 2023-05-10 · 21:46
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. GUMMY GUMMY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with MARK THE MOMENT second and LIGHTNING BOLT third. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GUMMY GUMMY B 1.07.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 4 | 1.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | MARK THE MOMENT V/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 11 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | CZARSON B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 6 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | MAN STAR V K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 3 | 8.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | WINNING ICEY TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 1 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | ELON E/P A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | FLYING DRAGON V/XB H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 56.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | BEATO B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 128.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 51.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GUMMY GUMMY | 29.7% | 3.37 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | WINNING ICEY | 22.2% | 4.50 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | CZARSON | 12.2% | 8.22 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 8.7% | 11.44 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | MARK THE MOMENT | 6.1% | 16.41 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 5.6% | 17.78 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | MAN STAR | 4.4% | 22.67 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | ELON | 3.8% | 26.27 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 2.7% | 36.90 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | BEATO | 2.3% | 43.32 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | FLYING DRAGON | 2.2% | 45.86 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 15.5
PLACE
3 38
4 29
5 10.1
QUINELLA
3,5 111
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 176.5
3,5 48.5
4,5 37
FORECAST
5,3 180
TIERCE
5,3,4 904
TRIO
3,4,5 243
FIRST 4
3,4,5,7 670
QUARTET
5,3,4,7 5,740
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 15.5
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/3,4,5 28,347
5TH DOUBLE
4/3 303
4/5 262.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,8,9/3,4,7/3,4,5 1,307,324
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,8,9/3,4,7/Any Combination 3,786