Sha Tin · 2023-05-10 · 22:18
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ERIMO Closed strongly PC 1.37.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 4.8 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | ADEFILL Closed strongly CP K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 4.8 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | NORDIC STAR Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 49.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | FIERY DIAMOND C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 14 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT C Wong · K W Lui | C Wong | K W Lui | 7 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAR SLAM H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 3 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 4 | 8.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 2 | 7.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 80.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER B/BR R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 1 | 21.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | PEGASUS HERO B Avdulla · Y S Tsui | B Avdulla | Y S Tsui | 8 | 23.0 | 15-1/4 |
| — | 0 | PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | — | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG CP2/TT2 S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | — | 8.7 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-10 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ERIMO, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 4, with ADEFILL second and NORDIC STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ADEFILL | 20.8% | 4.81 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER | 12.5% | 8.00 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | MALDIVES | 10.8% | 9.27 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | ERIMO | 9.1% | 10.95 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 8.4% | 11.95 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | FIERY DIAMOND | 7.0% | 14.23 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT TEAM | 6.5% | 15.38 | — |
| 8 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 5.8% | 17.29 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | NORDIC STAR | 4.6% | 21.61 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME | 4.1% | 24.32 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG | 3.8% | 26.34 | — |
| 12 | 0 | PEGASUS HERO | 3.5% | 28.31 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | BEAR SLAM | 1.8% | 54.41 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 1.2% | 81.83 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 48.5
PLACE
3 20.5
4 20.5
6 119.5
QUINELLA
3,4 119
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 51
3,6 420
4,6 471.5
FORECAST
3,4 287
TIERCE
3,4,6 8,928
TRIO
3,4,6 1,955
FIRST 4
2,3,4,6 5,663
QUARTET
3,4,6,2 107,030
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
5/3 72.5
5/4 13.5