Sha Tin · 2023-05-10 · 20:46
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly 1.47.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 6.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO Led early B-/H/V1/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS H/P/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 3.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR V/TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 10 | 59.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET Closed strongly H/PC/XB C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 5 | 4.3 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | SURREALISM B Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 9 | 33.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 3 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 7 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | KEEN UNITY B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 11 | 19.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 13 | 38.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | CHRYSOS Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 72.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | GREAT BRILLIANT B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 4 | 81.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | YEABOI B/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 93.0 | 24 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-10 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. GALLANT HERO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with MISSION BRAVO second and AMAZING TEENS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite AMAZING TEENS finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GALLANT HERO | 33.6% | 2.98 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 26.7% | 3.75 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 10.1% | 9.87 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | VINCY | 5.2% | 19.08 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 4.9% | 20.46 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO | 4.6% | 21.72 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | KEEN UNITY | 3.9% | 25.79 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 3.3% | 30.73 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | SURREALISM | 2.9% | 34.68 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 2.5% | 39.50 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | YEABOI | 0.9% | 115.05 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | GREAT BRILLIANT | 0.8% | 122.53 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | CHRYSOS | 0.7% | 147.93 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 65.5
PLACE
1 12.5
8 21
9 24
QUINELLA
8,9 248.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 48
1,9 42.5
8,9 89.5
FORECAST
9,8 525
TIERCE
9,8,1 1,698
TRIO
1,8,9 227
FIRST 4
1,8,9,10 2,214
QUARTET
9,8,1,10 39,066
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,9/1,8,9 103,760
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/8 52
7/9 856