跑馬地 · 2023-06-14 · 20:17
第 4場
2023-06-14跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的JOYFUL HUNTER勝出，贏出2。MODEST GENTLEMAN獲得亞軍；SUPER WINNER獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門MULTISUPER跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | JOYFUL HUNTER XB1 1.09.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | MODEST GENTLEMAN P/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 5 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER WINNER TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE B2/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | TELECOM SPIRIT B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 11 | 92.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER DOBBIN B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 3 | 36.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY TRIO B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | MULTISUPER L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | HAPPY UNITED P/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 6 | 5.7 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | ENDEARED XB A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 32.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | STARRY NIGHT B/TT M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 2 | CIRCUIT BOOMING K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MULTISUPER | 31.9% | 3.14 | 8 |
| 2 | 11 | STARRY NIGHT | 15.2% | 6.58 | 11 |
| 3 | 5 | HAPPY UNITED | 14.7% | 6.80 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | HAPPY TRIO | 9.4% | 10.67 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | JOYFUL HUNTER | 7.2% | 13.91 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER DOBBIN | 5.2% | 19.13 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 5.0% | 19.85 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 4.0% | 24.72 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | SUPER WINNER | 3.7% | 26.95 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | ENDEARED | 2.3% | 43.92 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | TELECOM SPIRIT | 1.3% | 74.37 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 165.5
PLACE
3 38.5
7 40
12 25.5
QUINELLA
7,12 734.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 266
3,12 215
7,12 210.5
FORECAST
7,12 1,561
TIERCE
7,12,3 20,553
TRIO
3,7,12 3,488
FIRST 4
3,7,9,12 8,471
QUARTET
7,12,3,9 173,825
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 29.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/7 332.5
5/12 48.5