跑馬地 · 2023-06-14 · 20:46
第 5場
2023-06-14跑馬地第5場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、C S Shum訓練的NORDIC DRAGON勝出，贏出2-1/4。MAJESTIC STAR獲得亞軍；WINNING ICEY獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NORDIC DRAGON TT 1.09.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | MAJESTIC STAR TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 6 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | WINNING ICEY TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 2 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | EASON V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 7.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE M Dee · J Size | M Dee | J Size | 5 | 2.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | STREET SCREAM B/H/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 4 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 31.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | POWER KOEPP E M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 31.6% | 3.16 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | EASON | 21.1% | 4.74 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | WINNING ICEY | 11.4% | 8.77 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | NORDIC DRAGON | 11.0% | 9.07 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | MAJESTIC STAR | 8.9% | 11.26 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | POWER KOEPP | 5.9% | 16.90 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 3.8% | 26.49 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | STREET SCREAM | 3.6% | 27.59 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 2.6% | 37.74 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 66
PLACE
3 21
6 20.5
9 18.5
QUINELLA
3,6 226
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 78
3,9 62.5
6,9 58.5
FORECAST
6,3 441
TIERCE
6,3,9 2,105
TRIO
3,6,9 367
FIRST 4
3,4,6,9 420
QUARTET
6,3,9,4 9,772
全部彩池（另 4 項）
1ST TREBLE
5/7/3 818
5/7/6 2,340
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,12/3,6,9 159,041
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 20.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
7/3 197
7/6 726