跑馬地 · 2023-06-28 · 21:16
第 6場
2023-06-28跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、C Fownes訓練的YOUNG LIFE FOREVER勝出，贏出3/4。TOGEPI獲得亞軍；KING ECCELLENTE獲得季軍。頭馬以4.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER 1.10.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 4.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | TOGEPI B L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 3 | 5.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE CP-/H-/XB/B1 H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | MODEST GENTLEMAN P/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 5 | 7.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | AESTHETICISM CP1 C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 12 | 56.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | STORMTROUPER E-/XB2/TT- C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 6 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | CHEER FOR SOUTH SR Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 11 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 7 | 5.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 2 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 8 | 31.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 43.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | WINNING DELAGO H/XB K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 4 | 43.0 | 37-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STORMTROUPER | 15.0% | 6.68 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 12.3% | 8.10 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | TOGEPI | 11.7% | 8.55 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE | 9.2% | 10.86 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 9.1% | 10.98 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 8.7% | 11.50 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 8.7% | 11.54 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 7.1% | 14.14 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 6.9% | 14.59 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | WINNING DELAGO | 4.9% | 20.61 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 3.3% | 30.08 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | AESTHETICISM | 3.2% | 31.03 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 43.5
PLACE
3 19.5
6 17
8 19
QUINELLA
6,8 102.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 47
3,8 64
6,8 36.5
FORECAST
6,8 187
TIERCE
6,8,3 1,091
TRIO
3,6,8 192
FIRST 4
3,6,8,12 345
QUARTET
6,8,3,12 6,221
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 23.5
5TH DOUBLE
4/6 726
4/8 197.5