跑馬地 · 2023-06-28 · 22:52
第 9場
2023-06-28跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的WONDER KIT勝出，贏出2-1/2。REWARD SMILE獲得亞軍；RED ELEGANCE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WONDER KIT CP1 1.09.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 2.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | REWARD SMILE TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 5.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | RED ELEGANCE XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 8 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | COPARTNER AMBITION B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | PHOENIX LIGHT H/TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 7 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 2 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | GORGEOUS VITALITY CP M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 82.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | E UNIVERSE TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 11 | 65.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | LESLIE B M Dee · P F Yiu | M Dee | P F Yiu | 5 | 17.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | DESERT STAR SR/TT1 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 4 | 31.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | REWARD SMILE | 22.2% | 4.50 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 16.6% | 6.04 | 11 |
| 3 | 6 | WONDER KIT | 15.3% | 6.52 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 8.9% | 11.20 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 8.1% | 12.34 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | RED ELEGANCE | 6.6% | 15.13 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 5.6% | 17.78 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | E UNIVERSE | 4.7% | 21.15 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | LESLIE | 4.2% | 23.96 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 3.9% | 25.69 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 2.6% | 37.90 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | DESERT STAR | 1.1% | 87.18 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 28.5
PLACE
2 19
6 14.5
12 54.5
QUINELLA
2,6 89
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 38.5
2,12 170
6,12 126.5
FORECAST
6,2 166
TIERCE
6,2,12 2,518
TRIO
2,6,12 434
FIRST 4
2,6,10,12 1,913
QUARTET
6,2,12,10 24,858
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/9/2 135
1/9/6 825
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 18
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,10/2,6,12 296,564
8TH DOUBLE
9/2 74
9/6 349
SIX UP
9/4/6/1/9/6 131,937
9,10/4,5,11/6,8/1,10/9,10/2,6 1,422
10 [P C Ng] —
3 [C Y Ho] —