跑馬地 · 2023-09-13 · 14:59
第 8場
2023-09-13跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、D J Whyte訓練的XPONENTIAL勝出，贏出SH。SUGAR SUGAR獲得亞軍；ARMOUR EAGLE獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門ONE FOR ALL跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | XPONENTIAL B/TT 1.10.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 9 | 25.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 13.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 1 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 2 | 9.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | ONE FOR ALL B/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 4 | 3.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 7.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | LUCKY GOLD B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 10 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | BRILLIANT WAY H-/SR1/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 6 | 53.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | REWARD SMILE TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 7 | 6.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | PACKING BOLE K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 3 | 4.9 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 7 | ALLGREEKTOME Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | REWARD SMILE | 26.8% | 3.73 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 12.2% | 8.18 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 10.7% | 9.31 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | ONE FOR ALL | 10.7% | 9.37 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | XPONENTIAL | 9.3% | 10.72 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 9.0% | 11.16 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | PACKING BOLE | 7.8% | 12.83 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | LUCKY GOLD | 5.7% | 17.70 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | SUGAR SUGAR | 4.3% | 23.04 | 2 |
| 10 | 6 | BRILLIANT WAY | 3.5% | 28.55 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 255
PLACE
3 51
5 17.5
8 40
QUINELLA
3,8 1,086.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 169.5
3,8 261.5
5,8 99.5
FORECAST
3,8 2,271
TIERCE
3,8,5 12,561
TRIO
3,5,8 1,514
FIRST 4
3,4,5,8 1,983
QUARTET
3,8,5,4 54,329
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
10/4/3 54,288
10/4/8 7,152
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,8/3,5,8 282,278
7TH DOUBLE
4/3 2,508.5
4/8 442.5
SIX UP
5,8/4,7/2,6/9,10/4,8/3,8 1,768,169
5 [K W Lui] —
6 [L Ferraris] —