跑馬地 · 2023-09-13 · 13:52
第 6場
2023-09-13跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、K L Man訓練的KOWLOON EAST STAR勝出，贏出2。CIRCUIT SEVEN獲得亞軍；KOKUSHI MUSOU獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門GORGEOUS VITALITY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT 0.57.15 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 10 | 9.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | KOKUSHI MUSOU B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 75.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | GORGEOUS VITALITY CP M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 4.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 5 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | G ONE EXCELLENT B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 2 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | ACE TALENT H/PC/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 9 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | PACHISI CP/XB2/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 11 | 8.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 4.7 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | DIAMOND SOARS H/P/TT K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 6 | 17.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | STARRY NIGHT B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 7 | 62.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 3 | 6.4 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 18.0% | 5.57 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | PACHISI | 12.1% | 8.26 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER COMMANDER | 11.3% | 8.85 | 12 |
| 4 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 10.6% | 9.42 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | STARRY NIGHT | 9.8% | 10.21 | 11 |
| 6 | 8 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 8.6% | 11.57 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | ACE TALENT | 6.5% | 15.45 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | DIAMOND SOARS | 6.0% | 16.76 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 5.6% | 17.76 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 5.1% | 19.65 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 3.9% | 25.72 | 1 |
| 12 | 3 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 2.6% | 39.15 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 188
PLACE
3 146
9 36.5
10 56.5
QUINELLA
9,10 1,313
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 843
3,10 1,562.5
9,10 404.5
FORECAST
10,9 3,166
TIERCE
10,9,3 85,340
TRIO
3,9,10 18,485
FIRST 4
2,3,9,10 12,648
QUARTET
10,9,3,2 392,815
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/3,9,10 741,091
5TH DOUBLE
2/9 160.5
2/10 1,394.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,6,7/2,4,6/Any Combination 2,160