沙田 · 2023-09-24 · 09:54
第 10場
2023-09-24沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、K W Lui訓練的PACKING TREADMILL勝出，贏出HD。FLYING ACE獲得亞軍；GOKO WIN獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門NORDIC DRAGON跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PACKING TREADMILL SR 1.09.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 4.7 | HD |
| 2 | 6 | FLYING ACE B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 4.0 | HD |
| 3 | 12 | GOKO WIN B A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 8 | 28.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 7.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | ALACRITY XB/B1/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 9 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NORDIC DRAGON TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 11 | 3.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | BUNDLE OF CHARM K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | POWER KOEPP E M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 3 | 47.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | IMA SINGLE MAN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 54.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | COMPUTER PATCH V/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 1 | 9.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | EASON V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 48.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | MASTER EIGHT TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 25.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NORDIC DRAGON | 23.8% | 4.20 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | FLYING ACE | 20.5% | 4.87 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | PACKING TREADMILL | 9.3% | 10.76 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 8.3% | 12.07 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 7.9% | 12.67 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | ALACRITY | 7.2% | 13.93 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | EASON | 6.6% | 15.09 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | GOKO WIN | 4.2% | 23.68 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | COMPUTER PATCH | 3.5% | 28.89 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | MASTER EIGHT | 3.4% | 29.61 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | POWER KOEPP | 3.2% | 31.69 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 2.2% | 45.36 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 47
PLACE
3 17.5
6 15.5
12 62.5
QUINELLA
3,6 98.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 39
3,12 169.5
6,12 150
FORECAST
3,6 237
TIERCE
3,6,12 2,869
TRIO
3,6,12 707
FIRST 4
3,4,6,12 885
QUARTET
3,6,12,4 16,855
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
1,6/5/3 539
1,6/5/6 110
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,10/3,6,12 24,718
9TH DOUBLE
5/3 288
5/6 60
SIX UP
8,9/10,13/3,9/1,5,6/5,8/3,6 1,538
9/13/9/1,6/5/3 31,084
2 [L Hewitson] —
9 [K W Lui] —