沙田 · 2023-09-24 · 07:42
第 6場
2023-09-24沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、C H Yip訓練的SPARKLING KNIGHT勝出，贏出N。COTTON FINGERS獲得亞軍；METRO WARRIOR獲得季軍。5.7倍大熱門RUN RUN COOL跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SPARKLING KNIGHT 0.56.76 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 9.9 | N |
| 2 | 10 | COTTON FINGERS TT1 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 53.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | METRO WARRIOR B A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 5 | 8.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | SHINING FORTUNE B/XB K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 67.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SINBA CP/TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 10 | 29.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 9 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL PC Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 5.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | AMAZING ROCKY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 22.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 13 | 6.5 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | HAPPY MISSION H-/B1/XB1/TT K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | 14 | 12.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL | 17.0% | 5.88 | 11 |
| 2 | 7 | KA YING SPIRIT | 16.2% | 6.19 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 10.1% | 9.90 | 10 |
| 4 | 13 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 8.7% | 11.47 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 8.0% | 12.49 | 13 |
| 6 | 5 | FLYING HIGH | 6.9% | 14.53 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | METRO WARRIOR | 6.7% | 14.98 | 3 |
| 8 | 14 | SHINING FORTUNE | 5.7% | 17.59 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | SINBA | 4.5% | 22.40 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPY MISSION | 3.8% | 26.06 | 14 |
| 11 | 11 | AMAZING ROCKY | 3.5% | 28.47 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 3.3% | 30.02 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | COTTON FINGERS | 2.9% | 34.27 | 2 |
| 14 | 3 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 2.7% | 37.19 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 99
PLACE
9 22.5
10 118
13 35
QUINELLA
10,13 2,850.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 629.5
9,13 138.5
10,13 868.5
FORECAST
13,10 5,473
TIERCE
13,10,9 41,994
TRIO
9,10,13 7,494
FIRST 4
9,10,13,14 63,008
QUARTET
13,10,9,14 1,151,099
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,9/9,10,13 463,450
5TH DOUBLE
9/10 263
9/13 428
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,7,10/1,8,9/Any Combination 12,271