Sha Tin · 2023-09-24 · 07:42
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-24 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SPARKLING KNIGHT, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C H Yip, won by N, with COTTON FINGERS second and METRO WARRIOR third. The 5.7 favourite RUN RUN COOL finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SPARKLING KNIGHT 0.56.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 9.9 | N |
| 2 | 10 | COTTON FINGERS TT1 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 53.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | METRO WARRIOR B A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 5 | 8.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | SHINING FORTUNE B/XB K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 67.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SINBA CP/TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 10 | 29.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 9 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL PC Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 5.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | AMAZING ROCKY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 22.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 13 | 6.5 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | HAPPY MISSION H-/B1/XB1/TT K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | 14 | 12.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL | 17.0% | 5.88 | 11 |
| 2 | 7 | KA YING SPIRIT | 16.2% | 6.19 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 10.1% | 9.90 | 10 |
| 4 | 13 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 8.7% | 11.47 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 8.0% | 12.49 | 13 |
| 6 | 5 | FLYING HIGH | 6.9% | 14.53 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | METRO WARRIOR | 6.7% | 14.98 | 3 |
| 8 | 14 | SHINING FORTUNE | 5.7% | 17.59 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | SINBA | 4.5% | 22.40 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPY MISSION | 3.8% | 26.06 | 14 |
| 11 | 11 | AMAZING ROCKY | 3.5% | 28.47 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 3.3% | 30.02 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | COTTON FINGERS | 2.9% | 34.27 | 2 |
| 14 | 3 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 2.7% | 37.19 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 99
PLACE
9 22.5
10 118
13 35
QUINELLA
10,13 2,850.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 629.5
9,13 138.5
10,13 868.5
FORECAST
13,10 5,473
TIERCE
13,10,9 41,994
TRIO
9,10,13 7,494
FIRST 4
9,10,13,14 63,008
QUARTET
13,10,9,14 1,151,099
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,9/9,10,13 463,450
5TH DOUBLE
9/10 263
9/13 428
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,7,10/1,8,9/Any Combination 12,271