Sha Tin · 2023-09-24 · 05:03
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-24 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPER LEGENDS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with KAHOLO ANGEL second and RUBYLOT third. The 2.1 favourite RUBYLOT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER LEGENDS TT1 1.09.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 8 | 17.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | KAHOLO ANGEL B-/H-/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 5.7 | N |
| 3 | 4 | RUBYLOT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 2.1 | N |
| 4 | 10 | TELECOM DRAGON TT1 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 10 | 83.0 | N |
| 5 | 7 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 9 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER BONUS B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 4 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | SONIC BOOM XB1/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | HINOKAMI KAGURA XB1/TT1 K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 7 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | THE CONCENTRATION K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 3 | 61.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | GREAT DAYS B Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 6 | 87.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER BONUS | 31.1% | 3.21 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 22.7% | 4.41 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 9.8% | 10.20 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER LEGENDS | 8.0% | 12.43 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | RUBYLOT | 7.7% | 13.01 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | THE CONCENTRATION | 6.5% | 15.49 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 5.9% | 17.00 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | SONIC BOOM | 5.9% | 17.09 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | GREAT DAYS | 1.6% | 61.11 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | TELECOM DRAGON | 0.9% | 116.99 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 173.5
PLACE
1 16
4 12
5 45
QUINELLA
1,5 454
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 24.5
1,5 119.5
4,5 75
FORECAST
5,1 1,047
TIERCE
5,1,4 3,538
TRIO
1,4,5 325
FIRST 4
1,4,5,10 2,046
QUARTET
5,1,4,10 71,862