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Sha Tin · 2023-09-24 · 17:19

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.11
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT 1.35.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor 10 5.5 N
2 0 SNAFFLES Closed strongly K Teetan · D A Hayes 2 5.2 N
3 0 BIG RED L Hewitson · C W Chang 5 6.3 1-3/4
4 0 MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · P C Ng 3 5.5 2
5 0 SECRET VISION CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 4 11.0 2-1/4
6 0 PACKING HURRICANE TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 8 24.0 2-3/4
7 0 YOUNG BRILLIANT B M F Poon · C H Yip 6 6.8 3-1/4
8 0 POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B K De Melo · P F Yiu 12 11.0 4-1/2
9 0 SUPER FOOTBALL B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 1 53.0 8
10 0 CHRYSOS Led early B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes 9 58.0 8-1/2
11 0 LEADING FORTUNE B A Hamelin · J Size 7 33.0 20-1/4
12 0 CALIFORNIA TEN B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 11 14.0 23

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-24 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TOGETHER, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with SNAFFLES second and BIG RED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite SNAFFLES finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY TOGETHER—2. SNAFFLES+0.05L3. BIG RED+1.75L4. MASTER OF FORTUNE+2L5. SECRET VISION+2.25L6. PACKING HURRICANE+2.75L7. YOUNG BRILLIANT+3.25L8. POWERFUL WINGS+4.5L9. SUPER FOOTBALL+8L10. CHRYSOS+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick PACKING HURRICANE (15.5%) finished 6th — the winner HAPPY TOGETHER was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PACKING HURRICANE 15.5% 6.44 6
2 0 SECRET VISION 14.1% 7.08 5
3 0 MASTER OF FORTUNE 13.8% 7.26 4
4 0 BIG RED 9.9% 10.15 3
5 0 LEADING FORTUNE 8.3% 12.00 11
6 0 SNAFFLES 8.2% 12.25 2
7 0 POWERFUL WINGS 7.8% 12.78 8
8 0 HAPPY TOGETHER 7.7% 13.05 1
9 0 CALIFORNIA TEN 5.6% 17.80 12
10 0 YOUNG BRILLIANT 5.2% 19.30 7
11 0 CHRYSOS 2.2% 45.79 10
12 0 SUPER FOOTBALL 1.8% 56.49 9
PACKING HURRICANESECRET VISIONMASTER OF FORTUNEBIG REDLEADING FORTUNESNAFFLESPOWERFUL WINGSHAPPY TOGETHER — wonCALIFORNIA TENYOUNG BRILLIANTCHRYSOSSUPER FOOTBALL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 55

PLACE

5 22

8 20

10 19.5

QUINELLA

5,8 146

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 58.5

5,10 73.5

8,10 50

FORECAST

5,8 313

TIERCE

5,8,10 1,321

TRIO

5,8,10 203

FIRST 4

5,8,10,11 247

QUARTET

5,8,10,11 7,133

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

1,6/5 108

1,6/8 12