Sha Tin · 2023-09-24 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-24 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TOGETHER, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with SNAFFLES second and BIG RED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite SNAFFLES finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT 1.35.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 5.5 | N |
| 2 | 8 | SNAFFLES Closed strongly K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.2 | N |
| 3 | 10 | BIG RED L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 5 | 6.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 3 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | SECRET VISION CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | PACKING HURRICANE TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | YOUNG BRILLIANT B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 6.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 12 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER FOOTBALL B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 53.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | CHRYSOS Led early B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 9 | 58.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | LEADING FORTUNE B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 33.0 | 20-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | CALIFORNIA TEN B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 11 | 14.0 | 23 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PACKING HURRICANE | 15.5% | 6.44 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | SECRET VISION | 14.1% | 7.08 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 13.8% | 7.26 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | BIG RED | 9.9% | 10.15 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | LEADING FORTUNE | 8.3% | 12.00 | 11 |
| 6 | 8 | SNAFFLES | 8.2% | 12.25 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | POWERFUL WINGS | 7.8% | 12.78 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 7.7% | 13.05 | 1 |
| 9 | 1 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 5.6% | 17.80 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 5.2% | 19.30 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | CHRYSOS | 2.2% | 45.79 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER FOOTBALL | 1.8% | 56.49 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 55
PLACE
5 22
8 20
10 19.5
QUINELLA
5,8 146
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 58.5
5,10 73.5
8,10 50
FORECAST
5,8 313
TIERCE
5,8,10 1,321
TRIO
5,8,10 203
FIRST 4
5,8,10,11 247
QUARTET
5,8,10,11 7,133
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
1,6/5 108
1,6/8 12