Sha Tin · 2023-09-24 · 08:44
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-24 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GREEN N WHITE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by HD, with LOST CHILD second and STRONGEST BOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GREEN N WHITE Closed strongly TT 1.22.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 6 | 1.6 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | LOST CHILD Closed strongly B- L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 5 | 8.9 | HD |
| 3 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 7 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly B-/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 1 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly CP-/B1 L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 4 | 81.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | STRATHPEFFER B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 8 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | PO ON WAY Closed strongly CP/H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 13 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | RED HARE KING TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 9 | 6.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | FASTPASS Led early B/SR/XB H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 2 | 65.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | CASA COSMO Closed strongly CP/XB/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 12 | 52.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | E GLORY C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 10 | 134.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | CAN'T GO WONG V/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 43.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | SEIZE THE DREAM M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 183.0 | 22 |
| — | 6 | CIRCUIT NINE M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GREEN N WHITE | 43.6% | 2.29 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 9.9% | 10.12 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | STRATHPEFFER | 9.7% | 10.36 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY | 7.4% | 13.48 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | LOST CHILD | 7.2% | 13.87 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | RED HARE KING | 5.6% | 17.91 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | PO ON WAY | 3.6% | 28.05 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | CASA COSMO | 3.5% | 28.51 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | CAN'T GO WONG | 3.4% | 29.00 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | AESTHETICISM | 3.3% | 29.89 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | FASTPASS | 1.2% | 81.43 | 9 |
| 12 | 13 | SEIZE THE DREAM | 0.8% | 124.26 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | E GLORY | 0.8% | 130.85 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 16.5
PLACE
1 11
5 22
12 24.5
QUINELLA
1,5 55
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 26.5
1,12 30.5
5,12 87
FORECAST
1,5 75
TIERCE
1,5,12 347
TRIO
1,5,12 132
FIRST 4
1,5,7,12 203
QUARTET
1,5,12,7 2,043
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,9/5,12>1,6 1,510
7TH DOUBLE
9/1,6 42.5
9/5 41