Sha Tin · 2023-09-24 · 08:12
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-24 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. YELLOWFIN, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with TAJ DRAGON second and BRAVE DREAMS third. The winner led throughout. The 2.1 favourite TAJ DRAGON finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | YELLOWFIN Wire to wire XB 1.21.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 2.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 2 | 2.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | BRAVE DREAMS Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 10 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | SHOW RESPECT Closed strongly SR/XB/CP1/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 7 | 46.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MARADO B C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 6 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SOLID SHALAA K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly XB1/TT- K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 9 | 137.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | BEAUTY MISSILE B-/V1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 14.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 8 | 62.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TAJ DRAGON | 34.0% | 2.94 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | YELLOWFIN | 23.6% | 4.24 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 13.0% | 7.69 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | BRAVE DREAMS | 8.3% | 12.01 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 6.5% | 15.28 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | MARADO | 5.3% | 18.88 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | SOLID SHALAA | 5.0% | 19.89 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | SHOW RESPECT | 2.7% | 37.63 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 1.1% | 88.58 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | HARRY'S HERO | 0.4% | 249.77 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 24
PLACE
2 36
3 11
9 11.5
QUINELLA
3,9 29
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 56.5
2,9 46
3,9 14.5
FORECAST
9,3 49
TIERCE
9,3,2 378
TRIO
2,3,9 96
FIRST 4
2,3,7,9 475
QUARTET
9,3,2,7 4,514
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
13/3 57
13/9 281.5