跑馬地 · 2023-09-27 · 13:47
第 7場
2023-09-27跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的LUCKY ARCHANGEL勝出，贏出SH。ROUND THE GLOBE獲得亞軍；KOKUSHI MUSOU獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門BABY CRYSTAL跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP-/XB/B1 1.10.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 6.7 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | ROUND THE GLOBE CP-/B1 A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 6 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | KOKUSHI MUSOU B/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 4 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | SEE U AGAIN C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 1 | 7.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | TOGEPI B/TT1 H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 5 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | JUNEAU FLASH P K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | GOOD BOY B/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 10 | 101.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | TIMESTORM B/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 3 | 68.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | NINJA DERBY CP- M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 120.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 5 | E BROTHER M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL | 27.4% | 3.65 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | TOGEPI | 21.6% | 4.64 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | ROUND THE GLOBE | 15.0% | 6.68 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | TIMESTORM | 10.0% | 9.96 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 8.4% | 11.94 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | JUNEAU FLASH | 7.7% | 13.05 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | SEE U AGAIN | 4.5% | 22.38 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | GOOD BOY | 1.8% | 55.80 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 1.6% | 60.81 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 1.6% | 62.97 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | NINJA DERBY | 0.5% | 202.23 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 67.5
PLACE
3 22.5
7 26
10 28
QUINELLA
7,10 485.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 99.5
3,10 107.5
7,10 125.5
FORECAST
7,10 890
TIERCE
7,10,3 5,340
TRIO
3,7,10 826
FIRST 4
3,7,9,10 1,760
QUARTET
7,10,3,9 43,556
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,10/3,7,10 28,456
6TH DOUBLE
3/7 353.5
3/10 55.5
TRIPLE TRIO
8,10,11/3,7,10/3,7,10 18,394,331
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
8,10,11/3,7,10/Any Combination 5,239