沙田 · 2023-10-01 · 07:38
第 6場
2023-10-01沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、K W Lui訓練的CHANCHENG GLORY勝出，贏出3/4。AESTHETICISM獲得亞軍；MASTER HERO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門LUCKY ETERNITY跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CHANCHENG GLORY 後段發力 CP-/XB/B1 1.35.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 3 | 32.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | AESTHETICISM 後段發力 B C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 14 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | MASTER HERO 後段發力 CP/XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SNOWALOT 後段發力 B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | PROSECCO 後段發力 SR/V2/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | LUCKY ETERNITY CP H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 5 | 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 13 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 後段發力 L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 6.9 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | PRECISE EXPRESS H2/TT- A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 7 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | LOOKING COOL CP A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK 早段領放 H/B1/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 56.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SMILING COLLECTOR V/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 7.4 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | SERANGOON H/CP1/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 35.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 8 | FOREVER FOLKS CP A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 9 | 38.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | SUPER HONG KONG B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 27.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 30.6% | 3.27 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | SNOWALOT | 12.1% | 8.27 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 10.2% | 9.79 | 11 |
| 4 | 13 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 8.0% | 12.49 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | LOOKING COOL | 7.5% | 13.30 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | MASTER HERO | 6.6% | 15.12 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | PROSECCO | 6.4% | 15.51 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | SUPER HONG KONG | 5.8% | 17.32 | 14 |
| 9 | 12 | AESTHETICISM | 3.3% | 30.52 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | FOREVER FOLKS | 2.5% | 39.59 | 13 |
| 11 | 7 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 2.4% | 41.12 | 1 |
| 12 | 2 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 2.3% | 43.18 | 8 |
| 13 | 3 | SERANGOON | 1.5% | 65.82 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK | 0.6% | 158.43 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 327
PLACE
7 89.5
10 38
12 54
QUINELLA
7,12 3,410.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 610
7,12 912
10,12 271
FORECAST
7,12 4,429
TIERCE
7,12,10 99,072
TRIO
7,10,12 11,075
FIRST 4
4,7,10,12 26,318
QUARTET
7,12,10,4 1,006,263
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,10/7,10,12 211,534
5TH DOUBLE
8/7 1,127
8/12 132.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,7/1,8,10/7,10,12 9,302,237
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,7/1,8,10/Any Combination 264