沙田 · 2023-10-01 · 06:32
第 4場
2023-10-01沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、P C Ng訓練的KA YING CHEER勝出，贏出SH。LADY'S CHOICE獲得亞軍；PINS PRINCE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KA YING CHEER CP1 1.09.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 8 | 2.1 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 12 | 6.5 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 9 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | NOBLE ONE B A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 6 | 9.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER WISE DRAGON TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 43.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SIGHT HERO B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 1 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | BULB PRINCE H/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 30.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | NISHIKADO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 4 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | SIMPLY MAVERICK B K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 10 | 34.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | BEAUTY UNITY XB1/TT1 K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 7 | 82.0 | 16 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LADY'S CHOICE | 31.8% | 3.14 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 13.2% | 7.59 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | NOBLE ONE | 11.5% | 8.68 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | PINS PRINCE | 10.3% | 9.75 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | DUBLIN STAR | 6.3% | 15.82 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | BEAUTY UNITY | 5.9% | 16.86 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | BULB PRINCE | 4.9% | 20.39 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | KA YING CHEER | 3.8% | 26.23 | 1 |
| 9 | 2 | SIGHT HERO | 3.7% | 26.72 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 3.6% | 27.80 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | NISHIKADO | 3.5% | 28.95 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 1.5% | 67.17 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 21.5
PLACE
1 20.5
4 19
7 12.5
QUINELLA
1,7 70.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 65.5
1,7 33.5
4,7 40
FORECAST
7,1 125
TIERCE
7,1,4 411
TRIO
1,4,7 117
FIRST 4
1,4,7,12 168
QUARTET
7,1,4,12 1,855
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,9/1,4,7 2,726
3RD DOUBLE
7/1 61.5
7/7 85.5