Sha Tin · 2023-10-01 · 06:32
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. KA YING CHEER, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by P C Ng, won by SH, with LADY'S CHOICE second and PINS PRINCE third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KA YING CHEER CP1 1.09.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 8 | 2.1 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 12 | 6.5 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 9 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | NOBLE ONE B A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 6 | 9.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER WISE DRAGON TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 43.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SIGHT HERO B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 1 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | BULB PRINCE H/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 30.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | NISHIKADO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 4 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | SIMPLY MAVERICK B K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 10 | 34.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | BEAUTY UNITY XB1/TT1 K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 7 | 82.0 | 16 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LADY'S CHOICE | 31.8% | 3.14 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 13.2% | 7.59 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | NOBLE ONE | 11.5% | 8.68 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | PINS PRINCE | 10.3% | 9.75 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | DUBLIN STAR | 6.3% | 15.82 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | BEAUTY UNITY | 5.9% | 16.86 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | BULB PRINCE | 4.9% | 20.39 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | KA YING CHEER | 3.8% | 26.23 | 1 |
| 9 | 2 | SIGHT HERO | 3.7% | 26.72 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 3.6% | 27.80 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | NISHIKADO | 3.5% | 28.95 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 1.5% | 67.17 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 21.5
PLACE
1 20.5
4 19
7 12.5
QUINELLA
1,7 70.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 65.5
1,7 33.5
4,7 40
FORECAST
7,1 125
TIERCE
7,1,4 411
TRIO
1,4,7 117
FIRST 4
1,4,7,12 168
QUARTET
7,1,4,12 1,855
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,9/1,4,7 2,726
3RD DOUBLE
7/1 61.5
7/7 85.5