Sha Tin · 2023-10-01 · 13:02
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly 1.48.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 7 | 1.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 9.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY B/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 4 | 7.3 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | LEATHER MASTER Closed strongly B L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 9 | 47.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RING BELLS Led early B/XB/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 32.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 6.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 17.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 10 | 34.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-01 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SPLENDID STAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3-1/4, with JOYFUL CHAMPION second and TURTLE AGAIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR | 32.0% | 3.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 15.2% | 6.60 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 14.5% | 6.90 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 11.4% | 8.74 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 7.7% | 12.95 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR | 5.7% | 17.69 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 4.2% | 24.02 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | LEATHER MASTER | 3.3% | 30.47 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | RING BELLS | 3.1% | 32.53 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN | 3.1% | 32.54 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 19.5
PLACE
4 41.5
7 10.5
8 22
QUINELLA
7,8 77.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 68.5
4,8 187
7,8 33
FORECAST
7,8 104
TIERCE
7,8,4 1,019
TRIO
4,7,8 378
FIRST 4
4,6,7,8 381
QUARTET
7,8,4,6 5,209