Sha Tin · 2023-10-01 · 17:19
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KARMA Closed strongly TT 1.22.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 5.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ARIEL Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | DIVINE ERA Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 7.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | BEATO Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 14 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN BULL Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 13 | 7.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PERFETTO Closed strongly B-/V1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 6.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | EVER BLESSING CP B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TALENTS SUPREMO XB-/TT1 A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 2 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SO AWESOME B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 6 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BAEBAE TSOI Led early CP-/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 7 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CAPTAIN HURRICANE Closed strongly H-/V-/TT1 M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 4 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | HOLY LAKE Closed strongly XB H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 12 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | LUCKY PLANET SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | HAPPIHOOD B K De Melo · P C Ng | K De Melo | P C Ng | 1 | 89.0 | 7-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KARMA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 1, with ARIEL second and DIVINE ERA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.0 favourite EVER BLESSING finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PERFETTO | 23.5% | 4.25 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN BULL | 14.6% | 6.85 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | ARIEL | 10.4% | 9.64 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | KARMA | 6.9% | 14.41 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY PLANET | 6.7% | 15.00 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | EVER BLESSING | 6.5% | 15.27 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | DIVINE ERA | 6.5% | 15.45 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 6.1% | 16.50 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | BEATO | 5.4% | 18.38 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | HOLY LAKE | 4.7% | 21.11 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | BAEBAE TSOI | 3.6% | 27.98 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SO AWESOME | 3.1% | 32.21 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | HAPPIHOOD | 1.2% | 86.85 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | CAPTAIN HURRICANE | 0.8% | 122.60 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 59
PLACE
1 20.5
4 47
5 27
QUINELLA
1,4 618
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 211.5
1,5 80
4,5 227.5
FORECAST
1,4 1,023
TIERCE
1,4,5 5,093
TRIO
1,4,5 1,064
FIRST 4
1,2,4,5 3,986
QUARTET
1,4,5,2 71,937
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
2/1 95
2/4 61