Sha Tin · 2023-10-01 · 06:04
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GALAXY PATCH, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with NORTHERN BEACHES second and CALL ME DANDY third. The 2.2 favourite CALL ME DANDY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GALAXY PATCH B1 1.09.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 6.3 | N |
| 2 | 9 | NORTHERN BEACHES M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 9.7 | N |
| 3 | 5 | CALL ME DANDY CP/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 2.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 2 | 7.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP CP M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 80.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | NABOO LEGEND Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT B/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 55.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | SAKEWIN CP Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 4 | 17.0 | 17-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CALL ME DANDY | 35.2% | 2.84 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 12.9% | 7.75 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 12.9% | 7.78 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | NABOO LEGEND | 8.5% | 11.81 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | GALAXY PATCH | 6.3% | 15.91 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 6.1% | 16.43 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 5.6% | 17.80 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 5.1% | 19.50 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | SAKEWIN | 4.1% | 24.16 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 3.3% | 30.15 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 63
PLACE
5 11.5
7 20
9 24
QUINELLA
7,9 330.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 31
5,9 38.5
7,9 85
FORECAST
7,9 584
TIERCE
7,9,5 1,549
TRIO
5,7,9 185
FIRST 4
2,5,7,9 234
QUARTET
7,9,5,2 6,445
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
7/7 1,022
7/9 341