Sha Tin · 2023-10-01 · 07:04
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MODULECONSTRUCTION, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with DRAGON'S LUCK second and SUPER HIGHWAY third. The 2.2 favourite DRAGON'S LUCK finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MODULECONSTRUCTION TT 1.08.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 3.5 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | DRAGON'S LUCK Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 2 | 2.2 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | MAGNIAC V/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 8 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER WINNER TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 5 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | PULSAR STRIDER L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 4 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | FAST VICTORY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 9 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | FRANTANCK K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 6 | 51.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 10 | 40.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DRAGON'S LUCK | 26.9% | 3.72 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 25.0% | 4.01 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPER WINNER | 13.4% | 7.48 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 8.6% | 11.63 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | FAST VICTORY | 5.7% | 17.69 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 5.0% | 20.01 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | PULSAR STRIDER | 4.8% | 20.63 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | MAGNIAC | 4.6% | 21.78 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | FRANTANCK | 3.4% | 29.71 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 2.7% | 36.67 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 35.5
PLACE
1 11
8 13
10 37
QUINELLA
1,8 38.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 19.5
1,10 51.5
8,10 65.5
FORECAST
8,1 78
TIERCE
8,1,10 530
TRIO
1,8,10 134
FIRST 4
1,2,8,10 260
QUARTET
8,1,10,2 4,898
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
7/7/1 65
7/7/8 526
4TH DOUBLE
7/1 10.5
7/8 76