Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-10-01 · 05:34

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1000m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-01 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SPARKLING DOLPHIN, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 3/4, with STRIVE FOR GLORY second and HAPPY FOR ALL third. The 2.5 favourite RUBY SAILING finished 4th.

Result

Official · 0.56.90
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 SPARKLING DOLPHIN 0.56.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · Y S Tsui 5 29.0 3/4
2 12 STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 6 61.0 3/4
3 2 HAPPY FOR ALL B/H/TT K De Melo · J Richards 14 10.0 1-1/4
4 3 RUBY SAILING Z Purton · K L Man 13 2.5 1-1/2
5 8 ALWAYS AWESOME H Bowman · D J Hall 4 14.0 1-3/4
6 5 WOODFIRE CHAMP TT1 M L Yeung · C W Chang 2 113.0 2-1/4
7 13 SWEET DIAMOND TT2 A Atzeni · P F Yiu 12 20.0 2-3/4
8 10 MULTIDARLING TT C L Chau · T P Yung 7 7.8 2-3/4
9 6 YEE CHEONG SPIRIT TT1 K C Leung · C S Shum 1 10.0 3-1/4
10 14 THE GOOD DEAL SR-/B2/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 9 11.0 3-3/4
11 11 REGENT GLORY K Teetan · D A Hayes 8 21.0 4-1/4
12 4 TRAVEL GOLF B1/TT M F Poon · C H Yip 11 15.0 4-1/2
13 9 DIAMOND FLARE B2/TT- A Hamelin · M Newnham 10 21.0 5-3/4
14 1 SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT A Badel · J Size 3 16.0 9-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SPARKLING DOLPHIN2. STRIVE FOR GLORY+0.75L3. HAPPY FOR ALL+1.25L4. RUBY SAILING+1.5L5. ALWAYS AWESOME+1.75L6. WOODFIRE CHAMP+2.25L7. SWEET DIAMOND+2.75L8. MULTIDARLING+2.75L9. YEE CHEONG SPIRIT+3.25L10. THE GOOD DEAL+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick RUBY SAILING (17.1%) finished 4th — the winner SPARKLING DOLPHIN was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 RUBY SAILING 17.1% 5.86 4
2 8 ALWAYS AWESOME 12.5% 8.01 5
3 1 SAVVY DELIGHT 10.0% 9.99 14
4 6 YEE CHEONG SPIRIT 9.9% 10.06 9
5 11 REGENT GLORY 8.2% 12.22 11
6 14 THE GOOD DEAL 8.0% 12.52 10
7 4 TRAVEL GOLF 6.8% 14.64 12
8 7 SPARKLING DOLPHIN 6.0% 16.56 1
9 10 MULTIDARLING 4.8% 20.63 8
10 12 STRIVE FOR GLORY 4.3% 23.35 2
11 2 HAPPY FOR ALL 4.1% 24.58 3
12 9 DIAMOND FLARE 3.4% 29.53 13
13 13 SWEET DIAMOND 2.8% 36.15 7
14 5 WOODFIRE CHAMP 2.1% 47.21 6
RUBY SAILINGALWAYS AWESOMESAVVY DELIGHTYEE CHEONG SPIRITREGENT GLORYTHE GOOD DEALTRAVEL GOLFSPARKLING DOLPHIN — wonMULTIDARLINGSTRIVE FOR GLORYHAPPY FOR ALLDIAMOND FLARESWEET DIAMONDWOODFIRE CHAMP

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 297

PLACE

2 30

7 73

12 131

QUINELLA

7,12 5,094

QUINELLA PLACE

2,7 371.5

2,12 581.5

7,12 1,205.5

FORECAST

7,12 10,012

TIERCE

7,12,2 111,624

TRIO

2,7,12 14,713

FIRST 4

2,3,7,12 9,903

QUARTET

7,12,2,3 456,828

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/7 510.5

7/12 227.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

4,7,8/2,7,12 1,248,211