Sha Tin · 2023-10-01 · 07:38
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-01 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHANCHENG GLORY, ridden by H Bentley and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with AESTHETICISM second and MASTER HERO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite LUCKY ETERNITY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CHANCHENG GLORY Closed strongly CP-/XB/B1 1.35.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 3 | 32.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 14 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | MASTER HERO Closed strongly CP/XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SNOWALOT Closed strongly B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | PROSECCO Closed strongly SR/V2/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | LUCKY ETERNITY CP H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 5 | 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 13 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 6.9 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | PRECISE EXPRESS H2/TT- A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 7 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | LOOKING COOL CP A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK Led early H/B1/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 56.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SMILING COLLECTOR V/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 7.4 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | SERANGOON H/CP1/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 35.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 8 | FOREVER FOLKS CP A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 9 | 38.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | SUPER HONG KONG B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 27.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 30.6% | 3.27 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | SNOWALOT | 12.1% | 8.27 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 10.2% | 9.79 | 11 |
| 4 | 13 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 8.0% | 12.49 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | LOOKING COOL | 7.5% | 13.30 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | MASTER HERO | 6.6% | 15.12 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | PROSECCO | 6.4% | 15.51 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | SUPER HONG KONG | 5.8% | 17.32 | 14 |
| 9 | 12 | AESTHETICISM | 3.3% | 30.52 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | FOREVER FOLKS | 2.5% | 39.59 | 13 |
| 11 | 7 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 2.4% | 41.12 | 1 |
| 12 | 2 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 2.3% | 43.18 | 8 |
| 13 | 3 | SERANGOON | 1.5% | 65.82 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK | 0.6% | 158.43 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 327
PLACE
7 89.5
10 38
12 54
QUINELLA
7,12 3,410.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 610
7,12 912
10,12 271
FORECAST
7,12 4,429
TIERCE
7,12,10 99,072
TRIO
7,10,12 11,075
FIRST 4
4,7,10,12 26,318
QUARTET
7,12,10,4 1,006,263
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,10/7,10,12 211,534
5TH DOUBLE
8/7 1,127
8/12 132.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,7/1,8,10/7,10,12 9,302,237
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,7/1,8,10/Any Combination 264